Vince Holding Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| VNCE Stock | USD 1.99 0.11 5.24% |
Vince | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Vince Holding Corp Company probability of distress Analysis
Vince Holding's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Vince Holding Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 71% |
Most of Vince Holding's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vince Holding Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Vince Holding probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vince Holding odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vince Holding Corp financial health.
Is Vince Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vince Holding. If investors know Vince will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vince Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share 1.52 | Revenue Per Share 24.912 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Vince Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vince that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vince Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vince Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vince Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vince Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vince Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vince Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vince Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Vince Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Vince Holding is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Vince Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Vince Holding's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Vince Holding's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Vince Holding's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Vince Holding Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 71%. This is 71.54% higher than that of the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector and 168.84% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 78.26% lower than that of the firm.
Vince Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Vince Holding's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Vince Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vince Holding by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Vince Holding is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Vince Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.47 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0353 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 170.89 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 12.5 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.60 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 83.97 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 23.07 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 2.23 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.72 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.12 X | ||||
| Revenue | 308.89 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 137.97 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 31.62 M | ||||
| Net Income | 765 K | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.07 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.09 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 204.57 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.22 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.31 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.11 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (19.26 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.77 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.52 X | ||||
| Target Price | 10.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 599 | ||||
| Beta | 1.73 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 26.26 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 303.35 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.12 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 22.23 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 60.23 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 71.65 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 303.35 M |
About Vince Holding Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vince Holding Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vince Holding using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vince Holding Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vince Holding in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vince Holding's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vince Holding options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Vince Holding Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vince Holding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vince Holding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vince Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Vince Holding Piotroski F Score and Vince Holding Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Vince Holding Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vince Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Complementary Tools for Vince Stock analysis
When running Vince Holding's price analysis, check to measure Vince Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vince Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Vince Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vince Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vince Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vince Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk |
Is Vince Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vince Holding. If investors know Vince will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vince Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share 1.52 | Revenue Per Share 24.912 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Vince Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vince that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vince Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vince Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vince Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vince Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vince Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vince Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vince Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.