United Guardian Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| UG Stock | USD 8.21 0.16 1.91% |
United | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
United Guardian Company chance of financial distress Analysis
United Guardian's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current United Guardian Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 7% |
Most of United Guardian's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, United Guardian is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of United Guardian probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting United Guardian odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of United Guardian financial health.
Is United Guardian's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Guardian. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Guardian listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.086 | Dividend Share 0.35 | Earnings Share 0.56 | Revenue Per Share 2.369 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of United Guardian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Guardian's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Guardian's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Guardian's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Guardian's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Guardian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Guardian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Guardian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
United Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for United Guardian is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of United Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since United Guardian's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of United Guardian's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of United Guardian's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, United Guardian has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 7.0%. This is 80.65% lower than that of the Personal Care Products sector and 79.95% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 82.43% higher than that of the company.
United Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses United Guardian's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of United Guardian could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Guardian by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.United Guardian is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
United Guardian Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Debt | (1.0M) | (591.4K) | (531.2K) | (830.5K) | (8.2M) | (7.8M) | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 1.3M | 1.4M | 2.3M | 1.4M | 1.5M | 1.5M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 386.9K | 151.7K | 83.2K | 30.4K | 435.7K | 306.6K | |
| Total Assets | 12.4M | 11.9M | 12.2M | 10.6M | 13.4M | 12.2M | |
| Total Current Assets | 11.6M | 11.2M | 11.6M | 10.0M | 12.3M | 10.6M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 4.5M | 3.6M | 5.3M | 2.5M | 3.1M | 3.2M |
United Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.25 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.15 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.24 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.30 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 29.36 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 4.59 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 36.38 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.69 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.21 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 15.40 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.09 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.23 X | ||||
| Revenue | 10.89 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 6.7 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 2.97 M | ||||
| Net Income | 2.58 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.77 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.47 X | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 5.59 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.48 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.14 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.13 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.56 X | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 23 | ||||
| Beta | 0.72 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 38.45 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 13.36 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 10.93 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 10.72 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 14.52 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 988.37 K | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 5.85 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 13.36 M | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.35 |
About United Guardian Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze United Guardian's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of United Guardian using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Guardian based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether United Guardian is a strong investment it is important to analyze United Guardian's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact United Guardian's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding United Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out United Guardian Piotroski F Score and United Guardian Altman Z Score analysis. For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Guardian guide.Note that the United Guardian information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Guardian's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for United Stock analysis
When running United Guardian's price analysis, check to measure United Guardian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Guardian is operating at the current time. Most of United Guardian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Guardian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Guardian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Guardian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is United Guardian's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Guardian. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Guardian listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.086 | Dividend Share 0.35 | Earnings Share 0.56 | Revenue Per Share 2.369 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of United Guardian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Guardian's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Guardian's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Guardian's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Guardian's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Guardian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Guardian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Guardian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.