Ralph Lauren Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| RL Stock | USD 166.48 0.45 0.27% |
Ralph | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Ralph Lauren Corp Company odds of financial distress Analysis
Ralph Lauren's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Ralph Lauren Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 9% |
Most of Ralph Lauren's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Ralph Lauren Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Ralph Lauren probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Ralph Lauren odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Ralph Lauren Corp financial health.
Is Ralph Lauren's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ralph Lauren. If investors know Ralph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ralph Lauren listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.309 | Dividend Share 3 | Earnings Share 8.81 | Revenue Per Share 100.56 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
The market value of Ralph Lauren Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ralph that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ralph Lauren's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ralph Lauren's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ralph Lauren's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ralph Lauren's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ralph Lauren's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ralph Lauren is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ralph Lauren's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ralph Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Ralph Lauren is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ralph Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Ralph Lauren's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Ralph Lauren's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Ralph Lauren's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Ralph Lauren Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 78.26% lower than that of the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector and 65.92% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.
Ralph Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Ralph Lauren's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Ralph Lauren could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ralph Lauren by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Ralph Lauren is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Ralph Lauren Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Debt | 1.4B | 651.3M | 1.5B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.6B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 2.1B | 1.6B | 2.3B | 1.5B | 1.7B | 1.0B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 2.5B | 3.7B | 2.9B | 2.9B | 3.3B | 3.5B | |
| Total Assets | 7.3B | 7.9B | 7.7B | 6.8B | 7.8B | 4.7B | |
| Total Current Assets | 3.4B | 4.2B | 4.2B | 3.3B | 3.8B | 2.5B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 754.6M | 380.9M | 715.9M | 411M | 472.7M | 645.0M |
Ralph Lauren ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ralph Lauren's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ralph Lauren's managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Ralph Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.23 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0662 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 11.59 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 39.04 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.17 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.83 % | |||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.1 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 15.89 X | |||
| Price To Book | 3.98 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.55 X | |||
| Revenue | 6.44 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 4.18 B | |||
| EBITDA | 1.01 B | |||
| Net Income | 522.7 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.53 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 21.47 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.86 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.22 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.01 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 40.25 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 411 M | |||
| Short Ratio | 2.96 X | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 8.81 X | |||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.15 X | |||
| Target Price | 190.83 | |||
| Number Of Employees | 14.9 K | |||
| Beta | 1.55 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 10.74 B | |||
| Total Asset | 6.79 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 6.6 B | |||
| Working Capital | 1.83 B | |||
| Current Asset | 3.05 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 1.2 B | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |||
| Five Year Return | 2.26 % | |||
| Net Asset | 6.79 B | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 3.0 |
About Ralph Lauren Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ralph Lauren Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ralph Lauren using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ralph Lauren Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Ralph Lauren Investors Sentiment
The influence of Ralph Lauren's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Ralph. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Ralph Lauren's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ralph. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ralph can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ralph Lauren Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ralph Lauren's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Ralph Lauren's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Ralph Lauren's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Ralph Lauren.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ralph Lauren in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ralph Lauren's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ralph Lauren options trading.
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When determining whether Ralph Lauren Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ralph Lauren's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ralph Lauren's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ralph Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Ralph Lauren Piotroski F Score and Ralph Lauren Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Ralph Stock analysis
When running Ralph Lauren's price analysis, check to measure Ralph Lauren's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ralph Lauren is operating at the current time. Most of Ralph Lauren's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ralph Lauren's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ralph Lauren's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ralph Lauren to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ralph Lauren's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ralph Lauren. If investors know Ralph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ralph Lauren listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.309 | Dividend Share 3 | Earnings Share 8.81 | Revenue Per Share 100.56 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
The market value of Ralph Lauren Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ralph that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ralph Lauren's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ralph Lauren's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ralph Lauren's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ralph Lauren's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ralph Lauren's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ralph Lauren is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ralph Lauren's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.