Visa Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 191.66

V -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Visa probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Visa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Refresh Odds

Visa Target Price Odds to finish over 191.66

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 191.66  or more in 30 days
 179.77 30 days 191.66 
near 1
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to move over $ 191.66  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This Visa probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Visa price to stay between its current price of $ 179.77  and $ 191.66  at the end of the 30-day period is about 21.22 .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Visa has beta of 0.9235 . This entails Visa market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Visa is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Visa is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Visa Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.92
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.09

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

Visa generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from Worth Watching Stocks to Keep Your Eyes on Visa Inc, - NewsSimatic

VisaPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.33%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.05
Short Percent Of Float1.69%
Float Shares1.7B
Shares Short Prior Month28.94M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.07M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.11M
Date Short InterestOctober 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.59%