Ibc Advanced Alloys Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.2
| IB Stock | CAD 0.08 0.02 20.00% |
IBC |
IBC Advanced Target Price Odds to finish below 0.2
The tendency of IBC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 0.20 after 90 days |
| 0.08 | 90 days | 0.20 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IBC Advanced to stay under C$ 0.20 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This IBC Advanced Alloys probability density function shows the probability of IBC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IBC Advanced Alloys price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.08 and C$ 0.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.85 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IBC Advanced Alloys has a beta of -0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IBC Advanced are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IBC Advanced Alloys is likely to outperform the market. Moreover IBC Advanced Alloys has an alpha of 1.1688, implying that it can generate a 1.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). IBC Advanced Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IBC Advanced
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IBC Advanced Alloys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IBC Advanced's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IBC Advanced Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IBC Advanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IBC Advanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IBC Advanced Alloys, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IBC Advanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
IBC Advanced Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IBC Advanced for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IBC Advanced Alloys can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IBC Advanced Alloys is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company currently holds 14.88 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 111.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. IBC Advanced Alloys has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist IBC Advanced until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IBC Advanced's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like IBC Advanced Alloys sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IBC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IBC Advanced's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 28.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.54 M. | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys currently holds about 798 K in cash with (1.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of IBC Advanced shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Ibc Advanced Alloys Corp down on Friday - The Globe and Mail |
IBC Advanced Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IBC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IBC Advanced's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IBC Advanced's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83 K |
IBC Advanced Technical Analysis
IBC Advanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IBC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IBC Advanced Alloys. In general, you should focus on analyzing IBC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IBC Advanced Predictive Forecast Models
IBC Advanced's time-series forecasting models is one of many IBC Advanced's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IBC Advanced's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IBC Advanced Alloys
Checking the ongoing alerts about IBC Advanced for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IBC Advanced Alloys help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IBC Advanced Alloys is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company currently holds 14.88 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 111.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. IBC Advanced Alloys has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist IBC Advanced until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IBC Advanced's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like IBC Advanced Alloys sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IBC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IBC Advanced's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 28.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.54 M. | |
| IBC Advanced Alloys currently holds about 798 K in cash with (1.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of IBC Advanced shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Ibc Advanced Alloys Corp down on Friday - The Globe and Mail |
Check out IBC Advanced Backtesting, IBC Advanced Valuation, IBC Advanced Correlation, IBC Advanced Hype Analysis, IBC Advanced Volatility, IBC Advanced History as well as IBC Advanced Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for IBC Stock analysis
When running IBC Advanced's price analysis, check to measure IBC Advanced's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IBC Advanced is operating at the current time. Most of IBC Advanced's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IBC Advanced's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IBC Advanced's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IBC Advanced to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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