ETFS Wheat (UK) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

WEAT -- UK ETF  

USD 0.64  0.005  0.79%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ETFS Wheat ETC which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ETFS Wheat hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ETFS Wheat ETC from the prospective of ETFS Wheat response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ETFS Wheat over a specific investment horizon. See also ETFS Wheat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ETFS Wheat After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

ETFS Wheat Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 22, 2018
0.64
Current Value
0.64
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
3.76
Upside
ETFS Wheat is exceptionally risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ETFS Commodity Secur is based on 1 month time horizon.

ETFS Wheat Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07% 1.04% 0.00%  0.04% 1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.640.640.31%
104,000% 

ETFS Wheat Hype Timeline

ETFS Wheat ETC is at this time traded for 0.64on London Stock Exchange of UK. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. ETFS Wheat ETC is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 0.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 104000.0%. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 0.31% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on ETFS Wheat is about 173.33% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.6. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
See also ETFS Wheat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ETFS Wheat Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Statoil ASA 0.00 0 per month 1.35  0.17  3.73 (2.26)  7.97 
Exxon Mobil Corp 0R1M 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.06 (1.21)  4.53 
Visa 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0346)  2.68 (3.43)  8.52 
Royal Dutch Shell plc 0.00 0 per month 1.22  0.18  1.44 (1.81)  5.71 
Wells Fargo Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.001)  2.71 (2.92)  5.87 
Samsung Electronics Co Ltd(3.00) 1 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.17 (2.35)  5.20 
Royal Dutch Shell plc(3.00) 2 per month 1.42  0.15  2.41 (2.19)  5.51 
H M Hennes Mauritz AB 0.00 0 per month 1.73  0.29  3.32 (2.12)  16.80 
Swedbank AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.07 (2.50)  8.35 
Chevron Corp 0R2Q 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0124  3.44 (5.19)  15.03 

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