Honda Stock Price Prediction

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HMC -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: 30th of June 2020  

Honda Motor stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Honda shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Honda stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Honda Motor, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Please check Honda Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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The Honda stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Honda over a specific investment horizon. Using Honda hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Honda Motor from the perspective of Honda response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.482.762.98
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
20.0323.6227.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.8226.4130.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.2823.8727.45
Details
Analysts
Consensus (4)
LowTarget PriceHigh
28.7029.5530.40
Details

Honda After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Honda Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
23.61
26th of May 2020
23.62
After-hype Price
27.21
Upside
Honda is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Honda Motor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Honda Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11  3.59  0.01   0.01  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.6123.620.04 
3,590  

Honda Hype Timeline

On the 26th of May Honda Motor is traded for 23.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Honda Motor is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 23.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 3590.0%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.04% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Honda is about 4325.3% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 23.62. The company reported last year revenue of 142.91 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 10.29 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3080 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Please check Honda Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Honda Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Ford Motor(0.18) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0368)  7.60 (9.09)  32.34 
General Motors(0.75) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0137)  8.95 (11.38)  27.26 
Fiat Chrysler 0.02 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  8.05 (9.20)  33.20 
Honda Motor 0.1 8 per month 0.00  0.0075  5.18 (6.14)  15.61 
NIO Inc 0.30 7 per month 6.57  0.0338  13.22 (11.08)  35.77 
Niu Technologies 0.44 8 per month 6.92  0.10  11.76 (12.18)  33.29 
Kandi Technologies Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DAIMLER AG 2.03 8 per month 0.00  0.0136  11.17 (14.33)  40.67 
Blue Bird 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Activision Blizzard(1.13) 6 per month 3.23  0.12  6.47 (4.49)  18.85 

Additional Predictive Modules

About Honda Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Honda stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Honda Motor, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of Honda hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Honda's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Honda's related companies.

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Latest Perspective on Honda

Please check Honda Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing money flow index and other technical indicators.
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