Hilton Grand Vacations Stock Technical Analysis
HGV Stock | USD 43.87 0.71 1.65% |
As of the 6th of May, Hilton Grand retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0441, risk adjusted performance of 0.0293, and Downside Deviation of 2.43. Hilton Grand technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Hilton Grand Vacations, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Hilton Grand Vacations coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Hilton Grand is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 43.87 per share. Given that Hilton Grand Vacations has jensen alpha of (0.07), we strongly advise you to confirm Hilton Grand Vacations's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Hilton Grand Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Hilton, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to HiltonHilton |
Hilton Grand Analyst Consensus
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
55.4 | Strong Buy | 8 | Odds |
Most Hilton analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Hilton stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Hilton Grand Vacations, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Hilton conference calls.
Hilton Grand technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Hilton Grand Vacations Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fourteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Hilton Grand Vacations volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Hilton Grand Vacations Trend Analysis
Use this graph to draw trend lines for Hilton Grand Vacations. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Hilton Grand as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Hilton Grand price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.Hilton Grand Best Fit Change Line
The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Hilton Grand Vacations applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of 0.02 , which may imply that the returns on investment in Hilton Grand Vacations will continue to fail. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 15.63, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Hilton Grand price change compared to its average price change.About Hilton Grand Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Hilton Grand Vacations on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilton Grand Vacations based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Hilton Grand Vacations price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Hilton Grand Vacations. By analyzing Hilton Grand's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Hilton Grand's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Hilton Grand specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 7.03E-4 | 6.26E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.11 | 2.02 |
Hilton Grand May 6, 2024 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Hilton help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hilton from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Hilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0293 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0441 | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
Semi Deviation | 2.25 | |||
Downside Deviation | 2.43 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 2836.47 | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
Variance | 4.45 | |||
Information Ratio | (0) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.0341 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 11.16 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.74) | |||
Potential Upside | 3.38 | |||
Downside Variance | 5.89 | |||
Semi Variance | 5.08 | |||
Expected Short fall | (1.52) | |||
Skewness | (0.94) | |||
Kurtosis | 2.4 |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Hilton Grand Vacations. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. Note that the Hilton Grand Vacations information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hilton Grand's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Hilton Stock analysis
When running Hilton Grand's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Grand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Grand is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Grand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Grand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Grand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Grand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hilton Grand's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilton Grand. If investors know Hilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilton Grand listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Earnings Share 2.8 | Revenue Per Share 32.625 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 | Return On Assets 0.0537 |
The market value of Hilton Grand Vacations is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilton Grand's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilton Grand's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilton Grand's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilton Grand's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilton Grand's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilton Grand is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilton Grand's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.