Cedar Fair Lp Stock Price Prediction
| FUN Stock | USD 38.32 0.42 1.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Cedar Fair LP stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cedar Fair shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cedar Fair's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cedar Fair and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cedar Fair's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cedar Fair LP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cedar Fair's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (2.30) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.38 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.98 | Wall Street Target Price 51.67 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cedar Fair based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cedar stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cedar Fair over a specific investment horizon. Using Cedar Fair hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cedar Fair LP from the perspective of Cedar Fair response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cedar Fair using Cedar Fair's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cedar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cedar Fair's stock price.
Cedar Fair Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cedar Fair's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cedar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cedar Fair stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Cedar Fair may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cedar Fair and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cedar Fair with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 39.146 | Short Percent 0.0581 | Short Ratio 13.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 40.9792 |
Cedar Fair LP Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cedar Fair's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cedar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cedar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cedar Fair LP. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cedar Fair's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cedar Fair.
Cedar Fair Implied Volatility | 34.33 |
Cedar Fair's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cedar Fair LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cedar Fair's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cedar Fair stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cedar Fair's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cedar Fair. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cedar Fair to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cedar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cedar Fair after-hype prediction price | USD 37.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cedar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cedar Fair's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cedar Fair After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cedar Fair at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cedar Fair or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cedar Fair, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cedar Fair Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cedar Fair's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cedar Fair's historical news coverage. Cedar Fair's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.43 and 39.37, respectively. We have considered Cedar Fair's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cedar Fair is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cedar Fair LP is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cedar Fair Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cedar Fair is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cedar Fair backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cedar Fair, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.47 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.32 | 37.90 | 0.00 |
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Cedar Fair Hype Timeline
On the 26th of April Cedar Fair LP is traded for 38.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Cedar is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cedar Fair is about 513.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.34. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2024. Cedar Fair LP had 2:1 split on the 18th of November 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Cedar Fair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cedar Fair Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cedar Fair's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cedar Fair's future price movements. Getting to know how Cedar Fair's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cedar Fair may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JAKK | JAKKS Pacific | 0.27 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.70 | (5.21) | 31.70 | |
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp | 1.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.51 | (2.58) | 10.50 | |
| FNKO | Funko Inc | (0.13) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.95 | (6.09) | 19.01 | |
| MODG | Callaway Golf | 0.28 | 11 per month | 1.80 | 0.03 | 3.81 | (3.26) | 15.20 | |
| YETI | YETI Holdings | (0.11) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.70 | (3.68) | 20.71 |
Cedar Fair Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cedar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cedar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cedar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cedar Fair Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cedar Fair stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cedar Fair LP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cedar Fair based on analysis of Cedar Fair hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cedar Fair's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cedar Fair's related companies. | 2020 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0239 | 0.0301 | 0.0286 | Price To Sales Ratio | 12.24 | 1.13 | 1.07 |
Story Coverage note for Cedar Fair
The number of cover stories for Cedar Fair depends on current market conditions and Cedar Fair's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cedar Fair is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cedar Fair's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cedar Fair Short Properties
Cedar Fair's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cedar Fair's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cedar Fair LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cedar Fair's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cedar Fair's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 65.8 M |
Check out Cedar Fair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Cedar Stock analysis
When running Cedar Fair's price analysis, check to measure Cedar Fair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cedar Fair is operating at the current time. Most of Cedar Fair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cedar Fair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cedar Fair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cedar Fair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cedar Fair's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cedar Fair. If investors know Cedar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cedar Fair listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 2.42 | Revenue Per Share 35.311 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Cedar Fair LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cedar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cedar Fair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cedar Fair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cedar Fair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cedar Fair's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cedar Fair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cedar Fair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cedar Fair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.