Vanguard Total Stock Fund Market Value

VSMPX Fund  USD 301.19  0.12  0.04%   
Vanguard Total's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Total trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Total Stock investors about its performance. Vanguard Total is trading at 301.19 as of the 17th of November 2025; that is 0.04 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 301.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Total Stock and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Total over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Total Correlation, Vanguard Total Volatility and Vanguard Total Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Total.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Total 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Total's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Total.
0.00
08/19/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Total on August 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Total Stock or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Total over 90 days. Vanguard Total is related to or competes with Vanguard 500, Vanguard Extended, Vanguard Extended, Vanguard Emerging, Vanguard Small-cap, Vanguard Small-cap, and Vanguard Growth. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, which represents approx... More

Vanguard Total Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Total's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Total Stock upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Total Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Total's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Total's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Total historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Total's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
271.07326.45327.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
271.07303.60304.34
Details

Vanguard Total Stock Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Total Stock owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the fund had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Total Stock, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Total's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0591, semi deviation of 0.7318, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1116.14 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0805%. The entity has a beta of 0.96, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vanguard Total returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Total is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Vanguard Total Stock has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Total time series from 19th of August 2025 to 3rd of October 2025 and 3rd of October 2025 to 17th of November 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Total Stock price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Vanguard Total price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance11.39

Vanguard Total Stock lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Total mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Total's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Total returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Total has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Total regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Total mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Total mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Total mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Total Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Total's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Total mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Total autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Total autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Total mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Total Stock.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Total security.
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