Bg Foods Stock Market Value

BGS Stock  USD 10.93  0.12  1.09%   
BG Foods' market value is the price at which a share of BG Foods trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BG Foods investors about its performance. BG Foods is selling for under 10.93 as of the 26th of April 2024; that is -1.09 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 10.82.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BG Foods and determine expected loss or profit from investing in BG Foods over a given investment horizon. Check out BG Foods Correlation, BG Foods Volatility and BG Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BG Foods.
For more information on how to buy BGS Stock please use our How to Invest in BG Foods guide.
Symbol

BG Foods Price To Book Ratio

Is BG Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BG Foods. If investors know BGS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BG Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.91)
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
(0.89)
Revenue Per Share
27.769
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of BG Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BGS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BG Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BG Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BG Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BG Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BG Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BG Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BG Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BG Foods 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BG Foods' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BG Foods.
0.00
05/07/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
04/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in BG Foods on May 7, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BG Foods or generate 0.0% return on investment in BG Foods over 720 days. BG Foods is related to or competes with Bit Origin, and Arcadia Biosciences. BG Foods, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes a portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, and household products... More

BG Foods Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BG Foods' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BG Foods upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

BG Foods Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BG Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BG Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BG Foods historical prices to predict the future BG Foods' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BG Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.3210.8714.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.2910.8414.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.5611.1114.65
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BG Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BG Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BG Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BG Foods.

BG Foods Backtested Returns

We consider BG Foods somewhat reliable. BG Foods retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0455, which signifies that the company had a 0.0455% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for BG Foods, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm BG Foods' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1209, standard deviation of 3.49, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1733.77 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. BG Foods has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.73, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, BG Foods will likely underperform. BG Foods today owns a risk of 3.55%. Please confirm BG Foods coefficient of variation, semi variance, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if BG Foods will be following its current price history.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.80  

Very good predictability

BG Foods has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BG Foods time series from 7th of May 2022 to 2nd of May 2023 and 2nd of May 2023 to 26th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BG Foods price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current BG Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.8
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.75

BG Foods lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is BG Foods stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BG Foods' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BG Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BG Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

BG Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BG Foods stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BG Foods stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BG Foods stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

BG Foods Lagged Returns

When evaluating BG Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BG Foods stock have on its future price. BG Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BG Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between BG Foods stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BG Foods.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with BG Foods

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BG Foods position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BG Foods will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to BG Foods could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BG Foods when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BG Foods - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BG Foods to buy it.
The correlation of BG Foods is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BG Foods moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BG Foods moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BG Foods can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether BG Foods is a strong investment it is important to analyze BG Foods' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BG Foods' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding BGS Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out BG Foods Correlation, BG Foods Volatility and BG Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BG Foods.
For more information on how to buy BGS Stock please use our How to Invest in BG Foods guide.
Note that the BG Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BG Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for BGS Stock analysis

When running BG Foods' price analysis, check to measure BG Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BG Foods is operating at the current time. Most of BG Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BG Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BG Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BG Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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BG Foods technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of BG Foods technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of BG Foods trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...