Dosni Roha (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 458.0

ZBRA Stock  IDR 458.00  2.00  0.43%   
Dosni Roha's future price is the expected price of Dosni Roha instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dosni Roha Indonesia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dosni Roha Backtesting, Dosni Roha Valuation, Dosni Roha Correlation, Dosni Roha Hype Analysis, Dosni Roha Volatility, Dosni Roha History as well as Dosni Roha Performance.
  
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Dosni Roha Target Price Odds to finish over 458.0

The tendency of Dosni Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 458.00 90 days 458.00 
about 49.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dosni Roha to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 49.6 (This Dosni Roha Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Dosni Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dosni Roha Indonesia has a beta of -0.0347. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dosni Roha are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dosni Roha Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dosni Roha Indonesia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Dosni Roha Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dosni Roha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dosni Roha Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dosni Roha's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
459.46460.00460.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
454.96455.50506.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
458.95459.49460.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
453.70457.75461.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dosni Roha. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dosni Roha's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dosni Roha's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dosni Roha Indonesia.

Dosni Roha Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dosni Roha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dosni Roha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dosni Roha Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dosni Roha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0046
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Dosni Roha Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dosni Roha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dosni Roha Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 19.83 B in total debt. Dosni Roha Indonesia has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dosni Roha until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dosni Roha's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dosni Roha Indonesia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dosni to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dosni Roha's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Dosni Roha Indonesia has accumulated about 56.52 M in cash with (363.78 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
Roughly 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Dosni Roha Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dosni Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dosni Roha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dosni Roha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding534.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments90.8 B

Dosni Roha Technical Analysis

Dosni Roha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dosni Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dosni Roha Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dosni Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dosni Roha Predictive Forecast Models

Dosni Roha's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dosni Roha's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dosni Roha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dosni Roha Indonesia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dosni Roha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dosni Roha Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 19.83 B in total debt. Dosni Roha Indonesia has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dosni Roha until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dosni Roha's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dosni Roha Indonesia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dosni to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dosni Roha's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Dosni Roha Indonesia has accumulated about 56.52 M in cash with (363.78 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
Roughly 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out Dosni Roha Backtesting, Dosni Roha Valuation, Dosni Roha Correlation, Dosni Roha Hype Analysis, Dosni Roha Volatility, Dosni Roha History as well as Dosni Roha Performance.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dosni Roha's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dosni Roha is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dosni Roha's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.