YT REALTY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0415
| YTZ Stock | EUR 0.04 0 2.78% |
YTZ |
YT REALTY Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0415
The tendency of YTZ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 0.04 after 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 85.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of YT REALTY to stay under € 0.04 after 90 days from now is about 85.68 (This YT REALTY GRP probability density function shows the probability of YTZ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of YT REALTY GRP price to stay between its current price of € 0.04 and € 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon YT REALTY GRP has a beta of -0.56. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding YT REALTY are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, YT REALTY GRP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally YT REALTY GRP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. YT REALTY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for YT REALTY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YT REALTY GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of YT REALTY's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
YT REALTY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. YT REALTY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the YT REALTY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold YT REALTY GRP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of YT REALTY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
YT REALTY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of YT REALTY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for YT REALTY GRP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| YT REALTY GRP had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| YT REALTY GRP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
YT REALTY Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of YTZ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential YT REALTY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YT REALTY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 799.6 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.04 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 97.5 M |
YT REALTY Technical Analysis
YT REALTY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. YTZ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of YT REALTY GRP. In general, you should focus on analyzing YTZ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
YT REALTY Predictive Forecast Models
YT REALTY's time-series forecasting models is one of many YT REALTY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary YT REALTY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about YT REALTY GRP
Checking the ongoing alerts about YT REALTY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for YT REALTY GRP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| YT REALTY GRP had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| YT REALTY GRP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Check out YT REALTY Backtesting, YT REALTY Valuation, YT REALTY Correlation, YT REALTY Hype Analysis, YT REALTY Volatility, YT REALTY History as well as YT REALTY Performance. Note that the YT REALTY GRP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other YT REALTY's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for YTZ Stock analysis
When running YT REALTY's price analysis, check to measure YT REALTY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy YT REALTY is operating at the current time. Most of YT REALTY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of YT REALTY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move YT REALTY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of YT REALTY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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