W R Berkley Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 77.08
WRB Stock | USD 78.56 0.15 0.19% |
Closest to current price WRB long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
WRB |
W R Target Price Odds to finish over 77.08
The tendency of WRB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 77.08 in 90 days |
78.56 | 90 days | 77.08 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of W R to stay above $ 77.08 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This W R Berkley probability density function shows the probability of WRB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of W R Berkley price to stay between $ 77.08 and its current price of $78.56 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.43 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon W R has a beta of 0.69. This entails as returns on the market go up, W R average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding W R Berkley will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally W R Berkley has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. W R Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for W R
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as W R Berkley. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of W R's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
W R Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. W R is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the W R's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold W R Berkley, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of W R within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
W R Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of W R for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for W R Berkley can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.W R Berkley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The company has 3.06 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.48, which is OK given its current industry classification. W R Berkley has a current ratio of 0.41, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist W R until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, W R's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like W R Berkley sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WRB to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about W R's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
W R Berkley has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 67.0% of W R outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 13th of March 2024 W R paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from investing.com: W.R. Berkley stock price target cut to 86 by Keefe, Bruyette Woods |
W R Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WRB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential W R's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. W R's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 273.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.5 B |
W R Technical Analysis
W R's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WRB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of W R Berkley. In general, you should focus on analyzing WRB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
W R Predictive Forecast Models
W R's time-series forecasting models is one of many W R's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary W R's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about W R Berkley
Checking the ongoing alerts about W R for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for W R Berkley help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
W R Berkley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The company has 3.06 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.48, which is OK given its current industry classification. W R Berkley has a current ratio of 0.41, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist W R until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, W R's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like W R Berkley sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WRB to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about W R's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
W R Berkley has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 67.0% of W R outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 13th of March 2024 W R paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from investing.com: W.R. Berkley stock price target cut to 86 by Keefe, Bruyette Woods |
Check out W R Backtesting, W R Valuation, W R Correlation, W R Hype Analysis, W R Volatility, W R History as well as W R Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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When running W R's price analysis, check to measure W R's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy W R is operating at the current time. Most of W R's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of W R's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move W R's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of W R to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is W R's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of W R. If investors know WRB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about W R listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.547 | Dividend Share 0.44 | Earnings Share 5.64 | Revenue Per Share 46.433 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
The market value of W R Berkley is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WRB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of W R's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is W R's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because W R's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect W R's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between W R's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if W R is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, W R's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.