Viemed Healthcare Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.63

VMD Stock  USD 8.31  0.30  3.75%   
Viemed Healthcare's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Viemed Healthcare. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Viemed Healthcare based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Viemed Healthcare over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $7.5 is a CALL option contract on Viemed Healthcare's common stock with a strick price of 7.5 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-08 at 10:57:32 for $2.8 and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.75, and an ask price of $1.1. The implied volatility as of the 28th of April is 57.35. View All Viemed options

Closest to current price Viemed long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Viemed Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Viemed Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Viemed Healthcare performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Viemed Healthcare Backtesting, Viemed Healthcare Valuation, Viemed Healthcare Correlation, Viemed Healthcare Hype Analysis, Viemed Healthcare Volatility, Viemed Healthcare History as well as Viemed Healthcare Performance.
For information on how to trade Viemed Stock refer to our How to Trade Viemed Stock guide.
  
At present, Viemed Healthcare's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.39, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 21.38. Please specify Viemed Healthcare's target price for which you would like Viemed Healthcare odds to be computed.

Viemed Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 9.63

The tendency of Viemed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.63  or more in 90 days
 8.31 90 days 9.63 
nearly 4.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Viemed Healthcare to move over $ 9.63  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.66 (This Viemed Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Viemed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Viemed Healthcare price to stay between its current price of $ 8.31  and $ 9.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.46 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.77 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Viemed Healthcare will likely underperform. Additionally Viemed Healthcare has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Viemed Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Viemed Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viemed Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Viemed Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.518.2711.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.129.8812.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.128.8811.63
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.6515.0016.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Viemed Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Viemed Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Viemed Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Viemed Healthcare.

Viemed Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Viemed Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Viemed Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Viemed Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Viemed Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Viemed Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Viemed Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Viemed Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Viemed Healthcare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Viemed Healthcare Stock Price Down 2 percent - Defense World

Viemed Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Viemed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Viemed Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Viemed Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding40.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.8 M

Viemed Healthcare Technical Analysis

Viemed Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Viemed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Viemed Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Viemed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Viemed Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Viemed Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Viemed Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Viemed Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Viemed Healthcare

Checking the ongoing alerts about Viemed Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Viemed Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Viemed Healthcare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Viemed Healthcare Stock Price Down 2 percent - Defense World
When determining whether Viemed Healthcare is a strong investment it is important to analyze Viemed Healthcare's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Viemed Healthcare's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Viemed Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running Viemed Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Viemed Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Viemed Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Viemed Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Viemed Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Viemed Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Viemed Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Viemed Healthcare's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Viemed Healthcare. If investors know Viemed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Viemed Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.246
Earnings Share
0.25
Revenue Per Share
4.772
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.353
Return On Assets
0.0713
The market value of Viemed Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Viemed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Viemed Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Viemed Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Viemed Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Viemed Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Viemed Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Viemed Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Viemed Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.