Jpmorgan Growth And Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 78.37

VGIIX Fund  USD 78.56  0.41  0.52%   
Jpmorgan Growth's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Growth And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Growth Correlation, Jpmorgan Growth Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Growth Volatility, Jpmorgan Growth History as well as Jpmorgan Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Jpmorgan Growth's target price for which you would like Jpmorgan Growth odds to be computed.

Jpmorgan Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 78.37

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 78.37  or more in 90 days
 78.56 90 days 78.37 
about 73.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Growth to drop to $ 78.37  or more in 90 days from now is about 73.1 (This Jpmorgan Growth And probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Growth And price to stay between $ 78.37  and its current price of $78.56 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Growth has a beta of 0.88. This entails Jpmorgan Growth And market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Jpmorgan Growth is expected to follow. Additionally Jpmorgan Growth And has an alpha of 0.0207, implying that it can generate a 0.0207 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jpmorgan Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Growth And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.9978.5679.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.6578.2278.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.0579.6280.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.4978.1778.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan Growth And.

Jpmorgan Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Growth And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.88
σ
Overall volatility
1.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Jpmorgan Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Growth And can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 98.15% of its net assets in stocks

Jpmorgan Growth Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Growth And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Growth And

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Growth And help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 98.15% of its net assets in stocks
Check out Jpmorgan Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Growth Correlation, Jpmorgan Growth Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Growth Volatility, Jpmorgan Growth History as well as Jpmorgan Growth Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jpmorgan Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.