Uxin Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.12
| UXIN Stock | USD 1.82 0.13 6.67% |
Uxin |
Uxin Target Price Odds to finish below 2.12
The tendency of Uxin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.12 after 90 days |
| 1.82 | 90 days | 2.12 | about 44.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Uxin to stay under $ 2.12 after 90 days from now is about 44.75 (This Uxin probability density function shows the probability of Uxin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Uxin price to stay between its current price of $ 1.82 and $ 2.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Uxin has a beta of -0.21. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Uxin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Uxin is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Uxin has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Uxin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Uxin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uxin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Uxin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Uxin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Uxin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Uxin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Uxin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Uxin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Uxin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Uxin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Uxin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Uxin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Uxin has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Uxin may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Uxin has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 812.71 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.47, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Uxin has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Uxin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Uxin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Uxin sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Uxin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Uxin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (137.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.72 M. | |
| Uxin currently holds about 88.19 M in cash with (251.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22. | |
| Uxin has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 15.0% of Uxin outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Uxin Reports Unaudited Third Quarter of Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results |
Uxin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Uxin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Uxin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Uxin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 92.7 M |
Uxin Technical Analysis
Uxin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Uxin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Uxin. In general, you should focus on analyzing Uxin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Uxin Predictive Forecast Models
Uxin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Uxin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Uxin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Uxin
Checking the ongoing alerts about Uxin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Uxin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Uxin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Uxin has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Uxin may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Uxin has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 812.71 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.47, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Uxin has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Uxin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Uxin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Uxin sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Uxin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Uxin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (137.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.72 M. | |
| Uxin currently holds about 88.19 M in cash with (251.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22. | |
| Uxin has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 15.0% of Uxin outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Uxin Reports Unaudited Third Quarter of Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results |
Check out Uxin Backtesting, Uxin Valuation, Uxin Correlation, Uxin Hype Analysis, Uxin Volatility, Uxin History as well as Uxin Performance. To learn how to invest in Uxin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Uxin guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Uxin Stock analysis
When running Uxin's price analysis, check to measure Uxin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Uxin is operating at the current time. Most of Uxin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Uxin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Uxin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Uxin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Uxin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Uxin. If investors know Uxin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Uxin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (35.91) | Revenue Per Share 308.118 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.42) | Return On Assets (0.11) | Return On Equity (0.94) |
The market value of Uxin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Uxin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Uxin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Uxin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Uxin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Uxin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Uxin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Uxin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Uxin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.