Trinet Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 127.29
| TNET Stock | USD 105.72 21.06 16.61% |
Closest to current price TriNet long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
TriNet |
TriNet Target Price Odds to finish below 127.29
The tendency of TriNet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 127.29 after 90 days |
| 105.72 | 90 days | 127.29 | about 66.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TriNet to stay under $ 127.29 after 90 days from now is about 66.24 (This TriNet Group probability density function shows the probability of TriNet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TriNet Group price to stay between its current price of $ 105.72 and $ 127.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This usually implies TriNet Group market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TriNet is expected to follow. Additionally TriNet Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. TriNet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TriNet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TriNet Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TriNet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TriNet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TriNet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TriNet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TriNet Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TriNet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
TriNet Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TriNet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TriNet Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TriNet Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 22nd of April 2024 TriNet paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: |
TriNet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TriNet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TriNet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TriNet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
TriNet Technical Analysis
TriNet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TriNet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TriNet Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing TriNet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TriNet Predictive Forecast Models
TriNet's time-series forecasting models is one of many TriNet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TriNet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TriNet Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about TriNet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TriNet Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TriNet Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 22nd of April 2024 TriNet paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: |
Check out TriNet Backtesting, TriNet Valuation, TriNet Correlation, TriNet Hype Analysis, TriNet Volatility, TriNet History as well as TriNet Performance. Note that the TriNet Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TriNet's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for TriNet Stock analysis
When running TriNet's price analysis, check to measure TriNet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TriNet is operating at the current time. Most of TriNet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TriNet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TriNet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TriNet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is TriNet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TriNet. If investors know TriNet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TriNet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 0.25 | Earnings Share 6.57 | Revenue Per Share 90.228 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of TriNet Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TriNet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TriNet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TriNet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TriNet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TriNet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TriNet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TriNet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TriNet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.