Thornburg Investment Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 24.36
| TIBMX Fund | USD 24.74 0.21 0.84% |
Thornburg |
Thornburg Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 24.36
The tendency of Thornburg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 24.36 or more in 90 days |
| 24.74 | 90 days | 24.36 | about 54.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thornburg Investment to drop to $ 24.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.59 (This Thornburg Investment Income probability density function shows the probability of Thornburg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thornburg Investment price to stay between $ 24.36 and its current price of $24.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thornburg Investment has a beta of 0.57. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thornburg Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thornburg Investment Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thornburg Investment Income has an alpha of 0.0139, implying that it can generate a 0.0139 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Thornburg Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thornburg Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thornburg Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thornburg Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thornburg Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thornburg Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thornburg Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thornburg Investment Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thornburg Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Thornburg Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thornburg Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thornburg Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 6.01% of its assets in cash |
Thornburg Investment Technical Analysis
Thornburg Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thornburg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thornburg Investment Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thornburg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thornburg Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Thornburg Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thornburg Investment's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thornburg Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thornburg Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thornburg Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thornburg Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 6.01% of its assets in cash |
Check out Thornburg Investment Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thornburg Investment Correlation, Thornburg Investment Hype Analysis, Thornburg Investment Volatility, Thornburg Investment History as well as Thornburg Investment Performance. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.