Swiss Life Holding Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 33.51

SZLMY Stock  USD 34.31  0.01  0.03%   
Swiss Life's future price is the expected price of Swiss Life instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Swiss Life Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Swiss Life Backtesting, Swiss Life Valuation, Swiss Life Correlation, Swiss Life Hype Analysis, Swiss Life Volatility, Swiss Life History as well as Swiss Life Performance.
  
Please specify Swiss Life's target price for which you would like Swiss Life odds to be computed.

Swiss Life Target Price Odds to finish below 33.51

The tendency of Swiss Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 33.51  or more in 90 days
 34.31 90 days 33.51 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swiss Life to drop to $ 33.51  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Swiss Life Holding probability density function shows the probability of Swiss Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swiss Life Holding price to stay between $ 33.51  and its current price of $34.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Swiss Life has a beta of 0.75. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swiss Life average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swiss Life Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Swiss Life Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Swiss Life Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swiss Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swiss Life Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swiss Life's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.9434.3135.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.6635.0336.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.0034.3735.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.3434.4235.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Swiss Life. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Swiss Life's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Swiss Life's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Swiss Life Holding.

Swiss Life Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swiss Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swiss Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swiss Life Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swiss Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.75
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Swiss Life Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swiss Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swiss Life Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swiss Life Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Swiss Life Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swiss Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swiss Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swiss Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding624.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments108.7 B

Swiss Life Technical Analysis

Swiss Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swiss Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swiss Life Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swiss Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Swiss Life Predictive Forecast Models

Swiss Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swiss Life's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swiss Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Swiss Life Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swiss Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swiss Life Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swiss Life Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out Swiss Life Backtesting, Swiss Life Valuation, Swiss Life Correlation, Swiss Life Hype Analysis, Swiss Life Volatility, Swiss Life History as well as Swiss Life Performance.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Swiss Pink Sheet analysis

When running Swiss Life's price analysis, check to measure Swiss Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swiss Life is operating at the current time. Most of Swiss Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swiss Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swiss Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swiss Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Swiss Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swiss Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Swiss Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.