Strategic Education Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 98.85
| STRA Stock | USD 117.97 3.22 2.81% |
Closest to current price Strategic long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Strategic |
Strategic Education Target Price Odds to finish below 98.85
The tendency of Strategic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 98.85 or more in 90 days |
| 117.97 | 90 days | 98.85 | about 34.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Strategic Education to drop to $ 98.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.6 (This Strategic Education probability density function shows the probability of Strategic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Strategic Education price to stay between $ 98.85 and its current price of $117.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Strategic Education will likely underperform. Additionally Strategic Education has an alpha of 0.3149, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Strategic Education Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Strategic Education
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Strategic Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Strategic Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Strategic Education Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Strategic Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Strategic Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Strategic Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Strategic Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Strategic Education Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Strategic Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Strategic Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Strategic Education had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Strategic Education has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 18th of March 2024 Strategic Education paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Director Viet Dinh Acquires 4,300 Shares of Strategic Education Inc |
Strategic Education Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Strategic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Strategic Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Strategic Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221.2 M |
Strategic Education Technical Analysis
Strategic Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Strategic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Strategic Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Strategic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Strategic Education Predictive Forecast Models
Strategic Education's time-series forecasting models is one of many Strategic Education's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Strategic Education's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Strategic Education
Checking the ongoing alerts about Strategic Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Strategic Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Strategic Education had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Strategic Education has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 18th of March 2024 Strategic Education paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Director Viet Dinh Acquires 4,300 Shares of Strategic Education Inc |
Check out Strategic Education Backtesting, Strategic Education Valuation, Strategic Education Correlation, Strategic Education Hype Analysis, Strategic Education Volatility, Strategic Education History as well as Strategic Education Performance. For information on how to trade Strategic Stock refer to our How to Trade Strategic Stock guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Strategic Stock analysis
When running Strategic Education's price analysis, check to measure Strategic Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Strategic Education is operating at the current time. Most of Strategic Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Strategic Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Strategic Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Strategic Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Strategic Education's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Strategic Education. If investors know Strategic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Strategic Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.14 | Dividend Share 2.4 | Earnings Share 4.23 | Revenue Per Share 49.868 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 |
The market value of Strategic Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Strategic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Strategic Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Strategic Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Strategic Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Strategic Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Strategic Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Strategic Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Strategic Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.