Quotemedia Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 3.83

QMCI Stock  USD 0.22  0.01  4.35%   
Quotemedia's future price is the expected price of Quotemedia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Quotemedia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Quotemedia Backtesting, Quotemedia Valuation, Quotemedia Correlation, Quotemedia Hype Analysis, Quotemedia Volatility, Quotemedia History as well as Quotemedia Performance.
  
Please specify Quotemedia's target price for which you would like Quotemedia odds to be computed.

Quotemedia Target Price Odds to finish over 3.83

The tendency of Quotemedia OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 3.83  or more in 90 days
 0.22 90 days 3.83 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quotemedia to move over $ 3.83  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Quotemedia probability density function shows the probability of Quotemedia OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quotemedia price to stay between its current price of $ 0.22  and $ 3.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Quotemedia has a beta of 0.11 indicating as returns on the market go up, Quotemedia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Quotemedia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Quotemedia has an alpha of 0.0764, implying that it can generate a 0.0764 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Quotemedia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Quotemedia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quotemedia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quotemedia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.224.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.194.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.224.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.190.220.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Quotemedia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Quotemedia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Quotemedia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Quotemedia.

Quotemedia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quotemedia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quotemedia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quotemedia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quotemedia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0

Quotemedia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quotemedia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quotemedia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quotemedia has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Quotemedia had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 615.74 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.33, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Quotemedia has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Quotemedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Quotemedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Quotemedia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Quotemedia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Quotemedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 47.0% of Quotemedia outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Quotemedia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quotemedia OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quotemedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quotemedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.5 M

Quotemedia Technical Analysis

Quotemedia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quotemedia OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quotemedia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quotemedia OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Quotemedia Predictive Forecast Models

Quotemedia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quotemedia's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quotemedia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Quotemedia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Quotemedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quotemedia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quotemedia has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Quotemedia had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 615.74 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.33, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Quotemedia has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Quotemedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Quotemedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Quotemedia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Quotemedia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Quotemedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 47.0% of Quotemedia outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Quotemedia Backtesting, Quotemedia Valuation, Quotemedia Correlation, Quotemedia Hype Analysis, Quotemedia Volatility, Quotemedia History as well as Quotemedia Performance.
Note that the Quotemedia information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Quotemedia's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Quotemedia OTC Stock analysis

When running Quotemedia's price analysis, check to measure Quotemedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quotemedia is operating at the current time. Most of Quotemedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quotemedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quotemedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quotemedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Quotemedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quotemedia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quotemedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.