Pt Indofood Sukses Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.45

PIFMF Stock  USD 0.45  0.00  0.00%   
PT Indofood's future price is the expected price of PT Indofood instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PT Indofood Sukses performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PT Indofood Backtesting, PT Indofood Valuation, PT Indofood Correlation, PT Indofood Hype Analysis, PT Indofood Volatility, PT Indofood History as well as PT Indofood Performance.
  
Please specify PT Indofood's target price for which you would like PT Indofood odds to be computed.

PT Indofood Target Price Odds to finish below 0.45

The tendency of PIFMF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.45 90 days 0.45 
about 67.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Indofood to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 67.38 (This PT Indofood Sukses probability density function shows the probability of PIFMF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PT Indofood has a beta of 0.11 indicating as returns on the market go up, PT Indofood average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Indofood Sukses will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PT Indofood Sukses has an alpha of 0.1657, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PT Indofood Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PT Indofood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Indofood Sukses. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PT Indofood's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.451.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.371.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.441.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.450.450.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PT Indofood. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PT Indofood's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PT Indofood's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PT Indofood Sukses.

PT Indofood Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Indofood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Indofood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Indofood Sukses, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Indofood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

PT Indofood Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Indofood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Indofood Sukses can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Indofood Sukses has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

PT Indofood Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PIFMF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Indofood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Indofood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.8 B

PT Indofood Technical Analysis

PT Indofood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PIFMF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Indofood Sukses. In general, you should focus on analyzing PIFMF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PT Indofood Predictive Forecast Models

PT Indofood's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Indofood's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Indofood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PT Indofood Sukses

Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Indofood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Indofood Sukses help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Indofood Sukses has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out PT Indofood Backtesting, PT Indofood Valuation, PT Indofood Correlation, PT Indofood Hype Analysis, PT Indofood Volatility, PT Indofood History as well as PT Indofood Performance.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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When running PT Indofood's price analysis, check to measure PT Indofood's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Indofood is operating at the current time. Most of PT Indofood's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Indofood's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Indofood's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Indofood to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between PT Indofood's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PT Indofood is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PT Indofood's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.