Nu Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.66
NU Stock | USD 10.88 0.02 0.18% |
Closest to current price Nu Holdings long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Nu Holdings |
Nu Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 10.66
The tendency of Nu Holdings Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.66 or more in 90 days |
10.88 | 90 days | 10.66 | about 39.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nu Holdings to drop to $ 10.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.77 (This Nu Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Nu Holdings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nu Holdings price to stay between $ 10.66 and its current price of $10.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.23 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nu Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Nu Holdings has an alpha of 0.15, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nu Holdings Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Nu Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nu Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nu Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nu Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nu Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nu Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nu Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nu Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Nu Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nu Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nu Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Nu Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company reports 1.38 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from financial leverage. Nu Holdings has a current ratio of 0.74, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Nu Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nu Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nu Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nu Holdings to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nu Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Nu Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
About 72.0% of Nu Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call DT Midstream projects strong growth and expansions in 2024 |
Nu Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nu Holdings Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nu Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nu Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 B |
Nu Holdings Technical Analysis
Nu Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nu Holdings Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nu Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nu Holdings Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nu Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Nu Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nu Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nu Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nu Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nu Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nu Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nu Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company reports 1.38 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from financial leverage. Nu Holdings has a current ratio of 0.74, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Nu Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nu Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nu Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nu Holdings to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nu Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Nu Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
About 72.0% of Nu Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call DT Midstream projects strong growth and expansions in 2024 |
Check out Nu Holdings Backtesting, Nu Holdings Valuation, Nu Holdings Correlation, Nu Holdings Hype Analysis, Nu Holdings Volatility, Nu Holdings History as well as Nu Holdings Performance. For more information on how to buy Nu Holdings Stock please use our How to Invest in Nu Holdings guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for Nu Holdings Stock analysis
When running Nu Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Nu Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nu Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Nu Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nu Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nu Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nu Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nu Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nu Holdings. If investors know Nu Holdings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nu Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 38 | Earnings Share 0.21 | Revenue Per Share 0.782 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.922 | Return On Assets 0.0281 |
The market value of Nu Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nu Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nu Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nu Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nu Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nu Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nu Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nu Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nu Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.