Net Holding (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.1

NTHOL Stock  TRY 30.98  0.34  1.09%   
Net Holding's future price is the expected price of Net Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Net Holding AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Net Holding Backtesting, Net Holding Valuation, Net Holding Correlation, Net Holding Hype Analysis, Net Holding Volatility, Net Holding History as well as Net Holding Performance.
  
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Net Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 26.1

The tendency of Net Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  26.10  in 90 days
 30.98 90 days 26.10 
about 87.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Net Holding to stay above  26.10  in 90 days from now is about 87.98 (This Net Holding AS probability density function shows the probability of Net Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Net Holding AS price to stay between  26.10  and its current price of 30.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Net Holding AS has a beta of -0.61. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Net Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Net Holding AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Net Holding AS has an alpha of 0.4553, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Net Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Net Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Net Holding AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Net Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9130.9834.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.7024.7734.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.5633.6336.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.0227.9331.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Net Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Net Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Net Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Net Holding AS.

Net Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Net Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Net Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Net Holding AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Net Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.46
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Net Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Net Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Net Holding AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Holding AS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Net Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Net Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Net Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Net Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding472.1 M

Net Holding Technical Analysis

Net Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Net Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Net Holding AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Net Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Net Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Net Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Net Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Net Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Net Holding AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Net Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Net Holding AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Holding AS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Net Holding Backtesting, Net Holding Valuation, Net Holding Correlation, Net Holding Hype Analysis, Net Holding Volatility, Net Holding History as well as Net Holding Performance.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Net Stock analysis

When running Net Holding's price analysis, check to measure Net Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Net Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Net Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Net Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Net Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Net Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Net Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Net Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Net Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.