Nstar Electric Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 78.5

NSARO Stock  USD 76.05  0.95  1.23%   
NSTAR Electric's future price is the expected price of NSTAR Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NSTAR Electric performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NSTAR Electric Backtesting, NSTAR Electric Valuation, NSTAR Electric Correlation, NSTAR Electric Hype Analysis, NSTAR Electric Volatility, NSTAR Electric History as well as NSTAR Electric Performance.
  
Please specify NSTAR Electric's target price for which you would like NSTAR Electric odds to be computed.

NSTAR Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 78.5

The tendency of NSTAR Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 78.50  after 90 days
 76.05 90 days 78.50 
about 43.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NSTAR Electric to stay under $ 78.50  after 90 days from now is about 43.94 (This NSTAR Electric probability density function shows the probability of NSTAR Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NSTAR Electric price to stay between its current price of $ 76.05  and $ 78.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NSTAR Electric has a beta of -0.13. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NSTAR Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NSTAR Electric is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NSTAR Electric has an alpha of 0.0334, implying that it can generate a 0.0334 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NSTAR Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NSTAR Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSTAR Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NSTAR Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.2877.0077.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.1066.8284.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NSTAR Electric. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NSTAR Electric's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NSTAR Electric's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NSTAR Electric.

NSTAR Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NSTAR Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NSTAR Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NSTAR Electric, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NSTAR Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

NSTAR Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NSTAR Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NSTAR Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 3.59 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.88, which is about average as compared to similar companies. NSTAR Electric has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NSTAR Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NSTAR Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NSTAR Electric sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NSTAR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NSTAR Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of NSTAR Electric shares are owned by institutional investors

NSTAR Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NSTAR Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NSTAR Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NSTAR Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding200.00
Cash And Short Term Investments745 K

NSTAR Electric Technical Analysis

NSTAR Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NSTAR Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NSTAR Electric. In general, you should focus on analyzing NSTAR Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NSTAR Electric Predictive Forecast Models

NSTAR Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many NSTAR Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NSTAR Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NSTAR Electric

Checking the ongoing alerts about NSTAR Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NSTAR Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 3.59 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.88, which is about average as compared to similar companies. NSTAR Electric has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NSTAR Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NSTAR Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NSTAR Electric sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NSTAR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NSTAR Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of NSTAR Electric shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out NSTAR Electric Backtesting, NSTAR Electric Valuation, NSTAR Electric Correlation, NSTAR Electric Hype Analysis, NSTAR Electric Volatility, NSTAR Electric History as well as NSTAR Electric Performance.
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When running NSTAR Electric's price analysis, check to measure NSTAR Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NSTAR Electric is operating at the current time. Most of NSTAR Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NSTAR Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NSTAR Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NSTAR Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between NSTAR Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NSTAR Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NSTAR Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.