National Australia Bank Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 26.08
| NAUBF Stock | USD 23.05 0.00 0.00% |
National |
National Australia Target Price Odds to finish over 26.08
The tendency of National Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 26.08 or more in 90 days |
| 23.05 | 90 days | 26.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Australia to move over $ 26.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This National Australia Bank probability density function shows the probability of National Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Australia Bank price to stay between its current price of $ 23.05 and $ 26.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon National Australia has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Australia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Australia Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally National Australia Bank has an alpha of 0.1277, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). National Australia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Australia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Australia Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Australia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
National Australia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Australia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Australia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Australia Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Australia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
National Australia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Australia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Australia Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Australia Bank has accumulated about 120.45 B in cash with (47.31 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 37.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
National Australia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Australia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Australia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B |
National Australia Technical Analysis
National Australia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Australia Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National Australia Predictive Forecast Models
National Australia's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Australia's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Australia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National Australia Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Australia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Australia Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| National Australia Bank has accumulated about 120.45 B in cash with (47.31 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 37.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out National Australia Backtesting, National Australia Valuation, National Australia Correlation, National Australia Hype Analysis, National Australia Volatility, National Australia History as well as National Australia Performance. Note that the National Australia Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Australia's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for National Pink Sheet analysis
When running National Australia's price analysis, check to measure National Australia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Australia is operating at the current time. Most of National Australia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Australia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Australia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Australia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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