LH Financial (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.0
| LHFG Stock | 0.99 0.02 2.06% |
LHFG |
LH Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 1.0
The tendency of LHFG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1.00 or more in 90 days |
| 0.99 | 90 days | 1.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LH Financial to move over 1.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LH Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of LHFG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LH Financial Group price to stay between its current price of 0.99 and 1.00 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LH Financial has a beta of 0.22. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LH Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LH Financial Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LH Financial Group has an alpha of 5.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 4.61E-4 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LH Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LH Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LH Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LH Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LH Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LH Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LH Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LH Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LH Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.0005 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
LH Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LH Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LH Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LH Financial Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LH Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
LH Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LHFG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LH Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LH Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.2 B |
LH Financial Technical Analysis
LH Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LHFG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LH Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing LHFG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LH Financial Predictive Forecast Models
LH Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many LH Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LH Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LH Financial Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about LH Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LH Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LH Financial Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LH Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out LH Financial Backtesting, LH Financial Valuation, LH Financial Correlation, LH Financial Hype Analysis, LH Financial Volatility, LH Financial History as well as LH Financial Performance. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Complementary Tools for LHFG Stock analysis
When running LH Financial's price analysis, check to measure LH Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LH Financial is operating at the current time. Most of LH Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LH Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LH Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LH Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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