Kraft Heinz (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 621.0
| KHC Stock | MXN 661.59 16.59 2.57% |
Kraft |
Kraft Heinz Target Price Odds to finish below 621.0
The tendency of Kraft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 621.00 or more in 90 days |
| 661.59 | 90 days | 621.00 | about 58.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kraft Heinz to drop to 621.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.61 (This The Kraft Heinz probability density function shows the probability of Kraft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kraft Heinz price to stay between 621.00 and its current price of 661.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon The Kraft Heinz has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kraft Heinz are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Kraft Heinz is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Kraft Heinz has an alpha of 0.1084, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kraft Heinz Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kraft Heinz
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kraft Heinz. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kraft Heinz's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kraft Heinz Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kraft Heinz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kraft Heinz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Kraft Heinz, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kraft Heinz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Kraft Heinz Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kraft Heinz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kraft Heinz can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 21.06 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Kraft Heinz Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kraft Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kraft Heinz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kraft Heinz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Kraft Heinz Technical Analysis
Kraft Heinz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kraft Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Kraft Heinz. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kraft Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kraft Heinz Predictive Forecast Models
Kraft Heinz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kraft Heinz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kraft Heinz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kraft Heinz
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kraft Heinz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kraft Heinz help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 21.06 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Kraft Heinz Backtesting, Kraft Heinz Valuation, Kraft Heinz Correlation, Kraft Heinz Hype Analysis, Kraft Heinz Volatility, Kraft Heinz History as well as Kraft Heinz Performance. Note that the Kraft Heinz information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kraft Heinz's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Kraft Stock analysis
When running Kraft Heinz's price analysis, check to measure Kraft Heinz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kraft Heinz is operating at the current time. Most of Kraft Heinz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kraft Heinz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kraft Heinz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kraft Heinz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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