Japan Petroleum (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.0
| JP9 Stock | EUR 39.40 0.60 1.55% |
Japan |
Japan Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish below 44.0
The tendency of Japan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 44.00 after 90 days |
| 39.40 | 90 days | 44.00 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Japan Petroleum to stay under € 44.00 after 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Japan Petroleum Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Japan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Japan Petroleum Expl price to stay between its current price of € 39.40 and € 44.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Japan Petroleum has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Japan Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Japan Petroleum Exploration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Japan Petroleum Exploration has an alpha of 0.089, implying that it can generate a 0.089 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Japan Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Japan Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Petroleum Expl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Japan Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Japan Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Japan Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Japan Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Japan Petroleum Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Japan Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Japan Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Japan Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Japan Petroleum Expl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Japan Petroleum Expl has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 249.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (30.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.9 B. | |
| Japan Petroleum Exploration has accumulated about 136.56 B in cash with (1.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Japan Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Japan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Japan Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Japan Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.6 M |
Japan Petroleum Technical Analysis
Japan Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Japan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Japan Petroleum Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Japan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Japan Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
Japan Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Japan Petroleum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Japan Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Japan Petroleum Expl
Checking the ongoing alerts about Japan Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Japan Petroleum Expl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Japan Petroleum Expl has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 249.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (30.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.9 B. | |
| Japan Petroleum Exploration has accumulated about 136.56 B in cash with (1.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Japan Petroleum Backtesting, Japan Petroleum Valuation, Japan Petroleum Correlation, Japan Petroleum Hype Analysis, Japan Petroleum Volatility, Japan Petroleum History as well as Japan Petroleum Performance. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Japan Stock analysis
When running Japan Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Japan Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Japan Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Japan Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Japan Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Japan Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Japan Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities |