Hoist Finance (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.1
| HOFI Stock | SEK 50.50 1.60 3.27% |
Hoist |
Hoist Finance Target Price Odds to finish below 49.1
The tendency of Hoist Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 49.10 or more in 90 days |
| 50.50 | 90 days | 49.10 | about 73.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hoist Finance to drop to kr 49.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 73.41 (This Hoist Finance AB probability density function shows the probability of Hoist Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hoist Finance AB price to stay between kr 49.10 and its current price of kr50.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hoist Finance has a beta of 0.75. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hoist Finance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hoist Finance AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hoist Finance AB has an alpha of 0.5577, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hoist Finance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hoist Finance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hoist Finance AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hoist Finance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hoist Finance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hoist Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hoist Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hoist Finance AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hoist Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Hoist Finance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hoist Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hoist Finance AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hoist Finance AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hoist Finance AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (117 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 B. | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hoist Finance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hoist Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hoist Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hoist Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Hoist Finance Technical Analysis
Hoist Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hoist Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hoist Finance AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hoist Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hoist Finance Predictive Forecast Models
Hoist Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hoist Finance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hoist Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hoist Finance AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hoist Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hoist Finance AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hoist Finance AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hoist Finance AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (117 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 B. | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Hoist Finance Backtesting, Hoist Finance Valuation, Hoist Finance Correlation, Hoist Finance Hype Analysis, Hoist Finance Volatility, Hoist Finance History as well as Hoist Finance Performance. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Hoist Stock analysis
When running Hoist Finance's price analysis, check to measure Hoist Finance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hoist Finance is operating at the current time. Most of Hoist Finance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hoist Finance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hoist Finance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hoist Finance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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