Maschinenfabrik HEID (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.45
| HED Stock | EUR 1.45 0.00 0.00% |
Maschinenfabrik |
Maschinenfabrik HEID Target Price Odds to finish over 1.45
The tendency of Maschinenfabrik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.45 | 90 days | 1.45 | about 87.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maschinenfabrik HEID to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.19 (This Maschinenfabrik HEID AG probability density function shows the probability of Maschinenfabrik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maschinenfabrik HEID AG has a beta of -0.21. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Maschinenfabrik HEID are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Maschinenfabrik HEID AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Maschinenfabrik HEID AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Maschinenfabrik HEID Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Maschinenfabrik HEID
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maschinenfabrik HEID. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Maschinenfabrik HEID's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Maschinenfabrik HEID Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maschinenfabrik HEID is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maschinenfabrik HEID's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maschinenfabrik HEID AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maschinenfabrik HEID within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Maschinenfabrik HEID Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maschinenfabrik HEID for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maschinenfabrik HEID can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Maschinenfabrik HEID generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Maschinenfabrik HEID may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Maschinenfabrik HEID has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 242.34 K. Net Loss for the year was (161.68 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 196.78 K. | |
| About 94.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Maschinenfabrik HEID Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maschinenfabrik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maschinenfabrik HEID's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maschinenfabrik HEID's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 M |
Maschinenfabrik HEID Technical Analysis
Maschinenfabrik HEID's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maschinenfabrik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maschinenfabrik HEID AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maschinenfabrik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Maschinenfabrik HEID Predictive Forecast Models
Maschinenfabrik HEID's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maschinenfabrik HEID's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maschinenfabrik HEID's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Maschinenfabrik HEID
Checking the ongoing alerts about Maschinenfabrik HEID for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maschinenfabrik HEID help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Maschinenfabrik HEID generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Maschinenfabrik HEID may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Maschinenfabrik HEID has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 242.34 K. Net Loss for the year was (161.68 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 196.78 K. | |
| About 94.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Maschinenfabrik HEID Backtesting, Maschinenfabrik HEID Valuation, Maschinenfabrik HEID Correlation, Maschinenfabrik HEID Hype Analysis, Maschinenfabrik HEID Volatility, Maschinenfabrik HEID History as well as Maschinenfabrik HEID Performance. Note that the Maschinenfabrik HEID information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Maschinenfabrik HEID's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Maschinenfabrik Stock analysis
When running Maschinenfabrik HEID's price analysis, check to measure Maschinenfabrik HEID's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Maschinenfabrik HEID is operating at the current time. Most of Maschinenfabrik HEID's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Maschinenfabrik HEID's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Maschinenfabrik HEID's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Maschinenfabrik HEID to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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