Grant Park Multi Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.29
| GPACX Fund | USD 10.25 0.01 0.1% |
Grant |
Grant Park Target Price Odds to finish over 10.29
The tendency of Grant Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.29 or more in 90 days |
| 10.25 | 90 days | 10.29 | about 10.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grant Park to move over $ 10.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.56 (This Grant Park Multi probability density function shows the probability of Grant Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grant Park Multi price to stay between its current price of $ 10.25 and $ 10.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Grant Park has a beta of 0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Grant Park average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grant Park Multi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grant Park Multi has an alpha of 0.044, implying that it can generate a 0.044 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grant Park Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grant Park
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grant Park Multi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grant Park's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grant Park Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grant Park is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grant Park's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grant Park Multi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grant Park within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Grant Park Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grant Park for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grant Park Multi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 34.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Grant Park Technical Analysis
Grant Park's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grant Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grant Park Multi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grant Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grant Park Predictive Forecast Models
Grant Park's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grant Park's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grant Park's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grant Park Multi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grant Park for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grant Park Multi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 34.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Grant Park Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Grant Park Correlation, Grant Park Hype Analysis, Grant Park Volatility, Grant Park History as well as Grant Park Performance. Note that the Grant Park Multi information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grant Park's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.