Graham Holdings Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 706.43
| GHC Stock | USD 744.65 11.97 1.63% |
Graham |
Graham Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 706.43
The tendency of Graham Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 706.43 or more in 90 days |
| 744.65 | 90 days | 706.43 | about 21.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graham Holdings to drop to $ 706.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.89 (This Graham Holdings Co probability density function shows the probability of Graham Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Graham Holdings price to stay between $ 706.43 and its current price of $744.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.65 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Graham Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Graham Holdings Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Graham Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Graham Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graham Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Graham Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Graham Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graham Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graham Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graham Holdings Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graham Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Graham Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graham Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graham Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Graham Holdings First Quarter 2024 Earnings EPS US28.06 |
Graham Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graham Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graham Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graham Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 898.9 M |
Graham Holdings Technical Analysis
Graham Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graham Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graham Holdings Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graham Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Graham Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Graham Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Graham Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graham Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Graham Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Graham Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graham Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Graham Holdings First Quarter 2024 Earnings EPS US28.06 |
Check out Graham Holdings Backtesting, Graham Holdings Valuation, Graham Holdings Correlation, Graham Holdings Hype Analysis, Graham Holdings Volatility, Graham Holdings History as well as Graham Holdings Performance. Note that the Graham Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Graham Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Complementary Tools for Graham Stock analysis
When running Graham Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Graham Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graham Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Graham Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graham Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graham Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graham Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Graham Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graham Holdings. If investors know Graham will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graham Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.549 | Dividend Share 6.67 | Earnings Share 60.67 | Revenue Per Share 995.336 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 |
The market value of Graham Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graham that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graham Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graham Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graham Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graham Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graham Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graham Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graham Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.