New Germany Closed Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 8.28
| GF Fund | USD 8.36 0.08 0.95% |
New |
New Germany Target Price Odds to finish over 8.28
The tendency of New Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 8.28 in 90 days |
| 8.36 | 90 days | 8.28 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Germany to stay above $ 8.28 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This New Germany Closed probability density function shows the probability of New Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Germany Closed price to stay between $ 8.28 and its current price of $8.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.3 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon New Germany has a beta of 0.81. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, New Germany average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding New Germany Closed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally New Germany Closed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. New Germany Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New Germany
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Germany Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Germany's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New Germany Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Germany is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Germany's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Germany Closed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Germany within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
New Germany Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Germany for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Germany Closed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| New Germany Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Liontrust GF Pan-European Dynamic Fund launches with over 150m - Investment International | |
| The fund produced three year return of -15.0% |
New Germany Technical Analysis
New Germany's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Germany Closed. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New Germany Predictive Forecast Models
New Germany's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Germany's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Germany's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New Germany Closed
Checking the ongoing alerts about New Germany for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Germany Closed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| New Germany Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Liontrust GF Pan-European Dynamic Fund launches with over 150m - Investment International | |
| The fund produced three year return of -15.0% |
Check out New Germany Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, New Germany Correlation, New Germany Hype Analysis, New Germany Volatility, New Germany History as well as New Germany Performance. Note that the New Germany Closed information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other New Germany's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.