Fisher Paykel Healthcare Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 16.14

FSPKF Stock  USD 16.14  0.00  0.00%   
Fisher Paykel's future price is the expected price of Fisher Paykel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fisher Paykel Healthcare performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fisher Paykel Backtesting, Fisher Paykel Valuation, Fisher Paykel Correlation, Fisher Paykel Hype Analysis, Fisher Paykel Volatility, Fisher Paykel History as well as Fisher Paykel Performance.
  
Please specify Fisher Paykel's target price for which you would like Fisher Paykel odds to be computed.

Fisher Paykel Target Price Odds to finish over 16.14

The tendency of Fisher Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.14 90 days 16.14 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fisher Paykel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Fisher Paykel Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Fisher Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fisher Paykel has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fisher Paykel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fisher Paykel Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fisher Paykel Healthcare has an alpha of 0.0973, implying that it can generate a 0.0973 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fisher Paykel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fisher Paykel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fisher Paykel Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fisher Paykel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.4516.1416.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0615.7516.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.4516.1316.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.1416.1416.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fisher Paykel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fisher Paykel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fisher Paykel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fisher Paykel Healthcare.

Fisher Paykel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fisher Paykel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fisher Paykel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fisher Paykel Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fisher Paykel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Fisher Paykel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fisher Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fisher Paykel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fisher Paykel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding577.1 M

Fisher Paykel Technical Analysis

Fisher Paykel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fisher Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fisher Paykel Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fisher Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fisher Paykel Predictive Forecast Models

Fisher Paykel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fisher Paykel's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fisher Paykel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fisher Paykel in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fisher Paykel's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fisher Paykel options trading.
Check out Fisher Paykel Backtesting, Fisher Paykel Valuation, Fisher Paykel Correlation, Fisher Paykel Hype Analysis, Fisher Paykel Volatility, Fisher Paykel History as well as Fisher Paykel Performance.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Fisher Pink Sheet analysis

When running Fisher Paykel's price analysis, check to measure Fisher Paykel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fisher Paykel is operating at the current time. Most of Fisher Paykel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fisher Paykel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fisher Paykel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fisher Paykel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fisher Paykel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fisher Paykel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fisher Paykel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.