AmRest Holdings (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.99
| EAT Stock | EUR 6.08 0.24 3.80% |
AmRest |
AmRest Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 5.99
The tendency of AmRest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 5.99 in 90 days |
| 6.08 | 90 days | 5.99 | about 45.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AmRest Holdings to stay above € 5.99 in 90 days from now is about 45.03 (This AmRest Holdings SE probability density function shows the probability of AmRest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AmRest Holdings SE price to stay between € 5.99 and its current price of €6.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AmRest Holdings has a beta of 0.008 suggesting as returns on the market go up, AmRest Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AmRest Holdings SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AmRest Holdings SE has an alpha of 0.0858, implying that it can generate a 0.0858 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AmRest Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AmRest Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AmRest Holdings SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AmRest Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AmRest Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AmRest Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AmRest Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AmRest Holdings SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AmRest Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
AmRest Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AmRest Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AmRest Holdings SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has accumulated 541.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.41, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AmRest Holdings SE has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AmRest Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AmRest Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AmRest Holdings SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AmRest to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AmRest Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 67.0% of AmRest Holdings shares are held by company insiders |
AmRest Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AmRest Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AmRest Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AmRest Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 219.2 M |
AmRest Holdings Technical Analysis
AmRest Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AmRest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AmRest Holdings SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing AmRest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AmRest Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
AmRest Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many AmRest Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AmRest Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AmRest Holdings SE
Checking the ongoing alerts about AmRest Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AmRest Holdings SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has accumulated 541.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.41, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AmRest Holdings SE has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AmRest Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AmRest Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AmRest Holdings SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AmRest to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AmRest Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 67.0% of AmRest Holdings shares are held by company insiders |
Check out AmRest Holdings Backtesting, AmRest Holdings Valuation, AmRest Holdings Correlation, AmRest Holdings Hype Analysis, AmRest Holdings Volatility, AmRest Holdings History as well as AmRest Holdings Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for AmRest Stock analysis
When running AmRest Holdings' price analysis, check to measure AmRest Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AmRest Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of AmRest Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AmRest Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AmRest Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AmRest Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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