Rexel SA (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.91
| E7V Stock | EUR 24.47 0.29 1.17% |
Rexel |
Rexel SA Target Price Odds to finish over 23.91
The tendency of Rexel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 23.91 in 90 days |
| 24.47 | 90 days | 23.91 | about 79.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rexel SA to stay above € 23.91 in 90 days from now is about 79.04 (This Rexel SA probability density function shows the probability of Rexel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rexel SA price to stay between € 23.91 and its current price of €24.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rexel SA has a beta of -0.51 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rexel SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rexel SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rexel SA has an alpha of 0.0424, implying that it can generate a 0.0424 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Rexel SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rexel SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rexel SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rexel SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rexel SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rexel SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rexel SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rexel SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rexel SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Rexel SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rexel SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rexel SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rexel SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Rexel SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rexel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rexel SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rexel SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 302.9 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0646 |
Rexel SA Technical Analysis
Rexel SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rexel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rexel SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rexel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rexel SA Predictive Forecast Models
Rexel SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rexel SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rexel SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rexel SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rexel SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rexel SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rexel SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Check out Rexel SA Backtesting, Rexel SA Valuation, Rexel SA Correlation, Rexel SA Hype Analysis, Rexel SA Volatility, Rexel SA History as well as Rexel SA Performance. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Rexel Stock analysis
When running Rexel SA's price analysis, check to measure Rexel SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rexel SA is operating at the current time. Most of Rexel SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rexel SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rexel SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rexel SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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