Danone PK Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 11.01
| DANOYDelisted Stock | USD 12.85 0.02 0.16% |
Danone |
Danone PK Target Price Odds to finish over 11.01
The tendency of Danone OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 11.01 in 90 days |
| 12.85 | 90 days | 11.01 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Danone PK to stay above $ 11.01 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Danone PK probability density function shows the probability of Danone OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Danone PK price to stay between $ 11.01 and its current price of $12.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Danone PK has a beta of 0.0275 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Danone PK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Danone PK will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Danone PK has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Danone PK Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Danone PK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danone PK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Danone PK's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Danone PK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Danone PK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Danone PK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Danone PK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Danone PK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Danone PK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Danone PK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Danone PK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Danone PK is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Danone PK generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Danone PK has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Danone PK Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Danone OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Danone PK's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danone PK's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 638.1 M |
Danone PK Technical Analysis
Danone PK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Danone OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Danone PK. In general, you should focus on analyzing Danone OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Danone PK Predictive Forecast Models
Danone PK's time-series forecasting models is one of many Danone PK's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Danone PK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Danone PK
Checking the ongoing alerts about Danone PK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Danone PK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Danone PK is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Danone PK generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Danone PK has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Danone OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Danone PK check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Danone PK's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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