Cablevision Holding (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4102.0

CVH Stock  ARS 4,778  75.50  1.61%   
Cablevision Holding's future price is the expected price of Cablevision Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cablevision Holding SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cablevision Holding Backtesting, Cablevision Holding Valuation, Cablevision Holding Correlation, Cablevision Holding Hype Analysis, Cablevision Holding Volatility, Cablevision Holding History as well as Cablevision Holding Performance.
  
Please specify Cablevision Holding's target price for which you would like Cablevision Holding odds to be computed.

Cablevision Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 4102.0

The tendency of Cablevision Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4,102  in 90 days
 4,778 90 days 4,102 
about 68.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cablevision Holding to stay above  4,102  in 90 days from now is about 68.4 (This Cablevision Holding SA probability density function shows the probability of Cablevision Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cablevision Holding price to stay between  4,102  and its current price of 4777.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cablevision Holding has a beta of 0.73 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cablevision Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cablevision Holding SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cablevision Holding SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Cablevision Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cablevision Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cablevision Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cablevision Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,7754,7784,780
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,8113,8145,255
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cablevision Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cablevision Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cablevision Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cablevision Holding.

Cablevision Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cablevision Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cablevision Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cablevision Holding SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cablevision Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.73
σ
Overall volatility
374.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Cablevision Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cablevision Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cablevision Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 202.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cablevision Holding has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cablevision Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cablevision Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cablevision Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cablevision to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cablevision Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Cablevision Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cablevision Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cablevision Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cablevision Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180.6 M

Cablevision Holding Technical Analysis

Cablevision Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cablevision Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cablevision Holding SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cablevision Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cablevision Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Cablevision Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cablevision Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cablevision Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cablevision Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cablevision Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cablevision Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 202.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cablevision Holding has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cablevision Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cablevision Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cablevision Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cablevision to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cablevision Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Cablevision Holding Backtesting, Cablevision Holding Valuation, Cablevision Holding Correlation, Cablevision Holding Hype Analysis, Cablevision Holding Volatility, Cablevision Holding History as well as Cablevision Holding Performance.
Note that the Cablevision Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cablevision Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for Cablevision Stock analysis

When running Cablevision Holding's price analysis, check to measure Cablevision Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cablevision Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Cablevision Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cablevision Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cablevision Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cablevision Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Cablevision Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cablevision Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cablevision Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.