Foreign Trade Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.56

BLX Stock  USD 29.12  0.71  2.50%   
Foreign Trade's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Foreign Trade Bank. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Foreign Trade based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Foreign Trade Bank over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $30.0 is a CALL option contract on Foreign Trade's common stock with a strick price of 30.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-01 at 14:45:32 for $0.2 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.0, and an ask price of $1.95. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of May is 22.27. View All Foreign options

Closest to current price Foreign long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Foreign Trade's future price is the expected price of Foreign Trade instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Foreign Trade Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Foreign Trade Backtesting, Foreign Trade Valuation, Foreign Trade Correlation, Foreign Trade Hype Analysis, Foreign Trade Volatility, Foreign Trade History as well as Foreign Trade Performance.
  
At this time, Foreign Trade's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is likely to rise to 1.13 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.20 in 2024. Please specify Foreign Trade's target price for which you would like Foreign Trade odds to be computed.

Foreign Trade Target Price Odds to finish below 29.56

The tendency of Foreign Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 29.56  after 90 days
 29.12 90 days 29.56 
about 84.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Foreign Trade to stay under $ 29.56  after 90 days from now is about 84.79 (This Foreign Trade Bank probability density function shows the probability of Foreign Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Foreign Trade Bank price to stay between its current price of $ 29.12  and $ 29.56  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.39 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 suggesting Foreign Trade Bank market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Foreign Trade is expected to follow. Additionally Foreign Trade Bank has an alpha of 0.2305, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Foreign Trade Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Foreign Trade

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foreign Trade Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Foreign Trade's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9928.8830.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2132.1634.05
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.2432.1335.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.001.140.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Foreign Trade. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Foreign Trade's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Foreign Trade's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Foreign Trade Bank.

Foreign Trade Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Foreign Trade is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Foreign Trade's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Foreign Trade Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Foreign Trade within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.05
σ
Overall volatility
2.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Foreign Trade Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Foreign Trade for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Foreign Trade Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Foreign Trade Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
On 19th of March 2024 Foreign Trade paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: With a 57 percent stake, Beacon Lighting Group Limited insiders have a lot riding on the company

Foreign Trade Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Foreign Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Foreign Trade's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Foreign Trade's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.5 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Foreign Trade Technical Analysis

Foreign Trade's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Foreign Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Foreign Trade Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Foreign Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Foreign Trade Predictive Forecast Models

Foreign Trade's time-series forecasting models is one of many Foreign Trade's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Foreign Trade's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Foreign Trade Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Foreign Trade for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Foreign Trade Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Foreign Trade Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
On 19th of March 2024 Foreign Trade paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: With a 57 percent stake, Beacon Lighting Group Limited insiders have a lot riding on the company
When determining whether Foreign Trade Bank offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Foreign Trade's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Foreign Trade Bank Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Foreign Trade Bank Stock:
Check out Foreign Trade Backtesting, Foreign Trade Valuation, Foreign Trade Correlation, Foreign Trade Hype Analysis, Foreign Trade Volatility, Foreign Trade History as well as Foreign Trade Performance.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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When running Foreign Trade's price analysis, check to measure Foreign Trade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Foreign Trade is operating at the current time. Most of Foreign Trade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Foreign Trade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Foreign Trade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Foreign Trade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Foreign Trade's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Foreign Trade. If investors know Foreign will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Foreign Trade listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.378
Dividend Share
1.5
Earnings Share
4.93
Revenue Per Share
6.988
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.316
The market value of Foreign Trade Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Foreign that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Foreign Trade's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Foreign Trade's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Foreign Trade's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Foreign Trade's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Foreign Trade's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Foreign Trade is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Foreign Trade's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.