Apple Hospitality Reit Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.27
| APLE Stock | USD 14.68 0.01 0.07% |
Closest to current price Apple long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
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Apple Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish over 15.27
The tendency of Apple Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 15.27 or more in 90 days |
| 14.68 | 90 days | 15.27 | about 89.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apple Hospitality to move over $ 15.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.44 (This Apple Hospitality REIT probability density function shows the probability of Apple Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apple Hospitality REIT price to stay between its current price of $ 14.68 and $ 15.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Apple Hospitality has a beta of 0.0509. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apple Hospitality average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apple Hospitality REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Apple Hospitality REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Apple Hospitality Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Apple Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apple Hospitality REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apple Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Apple Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apple Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apple Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apple Hospitality REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apple Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Apple Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apple Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apple Hospitality REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Apple Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Apple Hospitality paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Apple Hospitality REIT Scheduled to Post Quarterly Earnings on Monday - MarketBeat |
Apple Hospitality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apple Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apple Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apple Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 229.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.6 M |
Apple Hospitality Technical Analysis
Apple Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apple Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apple Hospitality REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apple Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apple Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
Apple Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apple Hospitality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apple Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Apple Hospitality REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Apple Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apple Hospitality REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Apple Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Apple Hospitality paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Apple Hospitality REIT Scheduled to Post Quarterly Earnings on Monday - MarketBeat |
Check out Apple Hospitality Backtesting, Apple Hospitality Valuation, Apple Hospitality Correlation, Apple Hospitality Hype Analysis, Apple Hospitality Volatility, Apple Hospitality History as well as Apple Hospitality Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Apple Stock analysis
When running Apple Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Apple Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apple Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Apple Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apple Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apple Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apple Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon |
Is Apple Hospitality's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apple Hospitality. If investors know Apple will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apple Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.935 | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 0.77 | Revenue Per Share 5.86 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.045 |
The market value of Apple Hospitality REIT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apple that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apple Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apple Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apple Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apple Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apple Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apple Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apple Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.