Anadolu Anonim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 86.4

ANSGR Stock  TRY 91.85  3.00  3.38%   
Anadolu Anonim's future price is the expected price of Anadolu Anonim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anadolu Anonim Turk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anadolu Anonim Backtesting, Anadolu Anonim Valuation, Anadolu Anonim Correlation, Anadolu Anonim Hype Analysis, Anadolu Anonim Volatility, Anadolu Anonim History as well as Anadolu Anonim Performance.
  
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Anadolu Anonim Target Price Odds to finish below 86.4

The tendency of Anadolu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  86.40  or more in 90 days
 91.85 90 days 86.40 
over 95.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anadolu Anonim to drop to  86.40  or more in 90 days from now is over 95.23 (This Anadolu Anonim Turk probability density function shows the probability of Anadolu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anadolu Anonim Turk price to stay between  86.40  and its current price of 91.85 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anadolu Anonim Turk has a beta of -1.5. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Anadolu Anonim Turk are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Anadolu Anonim is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Anadolu Anonim Turk has an alpha of 0.4438, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Anadolu Anonim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anadolu Anonim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anadolu Anonim Turk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anadolu Anonim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.7088.5091.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.0869.8897.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anadolu Anonim. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anadolu Anonim's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anadolu Anonim's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Anadolu Anonim Turk.

Anadolu Anonim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anadolu Anonim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anadolu Anonim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anadolu Anonim Turk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anadolu Anonim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.44
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.5
σ
Overall volatility
7.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Anadolu Anonim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anadolu Anonim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anadolu Anonim Turk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Anadolu Anonim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anadolu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anadolu Anonim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anadolu Anonim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding500 M

Anadolu Anonim Technical Analysis

Anadolu Anonim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anadolu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anadolu Anonim Turk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anadolu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anadolu Anonim Predictive Forecast Models

Anadolu Anonim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anadolu Anonim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anadolu Anonim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anadolu Anonim Turk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anadolu Anonim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anadolu Anonim Turk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Anadolu Anonim Backtesting, Anadolu Anonim Valuation, Anadolu Anonim Correlation, Anadolu Anonim Hype Analysis, Anadolu Anonim Volatility, Anadolu Anonim History as well as Anadolu Anonim Performance.
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Complementary Tools for Anadolu Stock analysis

When running Anadolu Anonim's price analysis, check to measure Anadolu Anonim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anadolu Anonim is operating at the current time. Most of Anadolu Anonim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anadolu Anonim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anadolu Anonim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anadolu Anonim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Anadolu Anonim's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Anadolu Anonim is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anadolu Anonim's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.