American Creek Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.15

AMK Stock  CAD 0.14  0.01  6.67%   
American Creek's future price is the expected price of American Creek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Creek Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Creek Backtesting, American Creek Valuation, American Creek Correlation, American Creek Hype Analysis, American Creek Volatility, American Creek History as well as American Creek Performance.
  
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to climb to 0.45 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (50.58). Please specify American Creek's target price for which you would like American Creek odds to be computed.

American Creek Target Price Odds to finish over 0.15

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 0.15  or more in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 0.15 
about 27.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Creek to move over C$ 0.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.82 (This American Creek Resources probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Creek Resources price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.14  and C$ 0.15  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, American Creek will likely underperform. Additionally American Creek Resources has an alpha of 0.1445, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Creek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Creek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Creek Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Creek's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.156.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.126.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Creek. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Creek's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Creek's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Creek Resources.

American Creek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Creek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Creek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Creek Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Creek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

American Creek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Creek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Creek Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Creek had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Creek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Creek has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 26.44 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. American Creek Resources has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist American Creek until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Creek's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Creek Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Creek's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
American Creek Resources has accumulated about 91.73 K in cash with (1.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 18.0% of American Creek shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell American Creek Resources Ltd down on Tuesday - The Globe and Mail

American Creek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Creek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Creek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding442.8 M

American Creek Technical Analysis

American Creek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Creek Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Creek Predictive Forecast Models

American Creek's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Creek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Creek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Creek Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Creek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Creek Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Creek had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Creek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Creek has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 26.44 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. American Creek Resources has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist American Creek until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Creek's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Creek Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Creek's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
American Creek Resources has accumulated about 91.73 K in cash with (1.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 18.0% of American Creek shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell American Creek Resources Ltd down on Tuesday - The Globe and Mail

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When running American Creek's price analysis, check to measure American Creek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Creek is operating at the current time. Most of American Creek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Creek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Creek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Creek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Creek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Creek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Creek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.