Aksa Enerji (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37.26
| AKSEN Stock | TRY 39.54 0.20 0.50% |
Aksa |
Aksa Enerji Target Price Odds to finish over 37.26
The tendency of Aksa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 37.26 in 90 days |
| 39.54 | 90 days | 37.26 | about 36.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aksa Enerji to stay above 37.26 in 90 days from now is about 36.39 (This Aksa Enerji Uretim probability density function shows the probability of Aksa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aksa Enerji Uretim price to stay between 37.26 and its current price of 39.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aksa Enerji Uretim has a beta of -0.75. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aksa Enerji are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aksa Enerji Uretim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aksa Enerji Uretim has an alpha of 0.5916, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aksa Enerji Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aksa Enerji
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aksa Enerji Uretim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aksa Enerji's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aksa Enerji Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aksa Enerji is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aksa Enerji's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aksa Enerji Uretim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aksa Enerji within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.35 |
Aksa Enerji Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aksa Enerji for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aksa Enerji Uretim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aksa Enerji Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aksa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aksa Enerji's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aksa Enerji's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Aksa Enerji Technical Analysis
Aksa Enerji's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aksa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aksa Enerji Uretim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aksa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aksa Enerji Predictive Forecast Models
Aksa Enerji's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aksa Enerji's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aksa Enerji's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aksa Enerji Uretim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aksa Enerji for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aksa Enerji Uretim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Aksa Enerji Backtesting, Aksa Enerji Valuation, Aksa Enerji Correlation, Aksa Enerji Hype Analysis, Aksa Enerji Volatility, Aksa Enerji History as well as Aksa Enerji Performance. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Complementary Tools for Aksa Stock analysis
When running Aksa Enerji's price analysis, check to measure Aksa Enerji's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aksa Enerji is operating at the current time. Most of Aksa Enerji's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aksa Enerji's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aksa Enerji's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aksa Enerji to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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