Aikchol Hospital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.0
| AHC Stock | THB 17.80 0.10 0.56% |
Aikchol |
Aikchol Hospital Target Price Odds to finish below 18.0
The tendency of Aikchol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 18.00 after 90 days |
| 17.80 | 90 days | 18.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aikchol Hospital to stay under 18.00 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aikchol Hospital Public probability density function shows the probability of Aikchol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aikchol Hospital Public price to stay between its current price of 17.80 and 18.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aikchol Hospital has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aikchol Hospital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aikchol Hospital Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aikchol Hospital Public has an alpha of 0.0038, implying that it can generate a 0.003804 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aikchol Hospital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aikchol Hospital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aikchol Hospital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aikchol Hospital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aikchol Hospital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aikchol Hospital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aikchol Hospital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aikchol Hospital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aikchol Hospital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Aikchol Hospital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aikchol Hospital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aikchol Hospital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aikchol Hospital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aikchol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aikchol Hospital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aikchol Hospital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.9 M |
Aikchol Hospital Technical Analysis
Aikchol Hospital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aikchol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aikchol Hospital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aikchol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aikchol Hospital Predictive Forecast Models
Aikchol Hospital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aikchol Hospital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aikchol Hospital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aikchol Hospital Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aikchol Hospital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aikchol Hospital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Aikchol Hospital Backtesting, Aikchol Hospital Valuation, Aikchol Hospital Correlation, Aikchol Hospital Hype Analysis, Aikchol Hospital Volatility, Aikchol Hospital History as well as Aikchol Hospital Performance. Note that the Aikchol Hospital Public information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aikchol Hospital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Aikchol Stock analysis
When running Aikchol Hospital's price analysis, check to measure Aikchol Hospital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aikchol Hospital is operating at the current time. Most of Aikchol Hospital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aikchol Hospital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aikchol Hospital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aikchol Hospital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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