AgroFresh Solutions Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.0
| AGFSDelisted Stock | USD 3.00 0.00 0.00% |
AgroFresh |
AgroFresh Solutions Target Price Odds to finish below 3.0
The tendency of AgroFresh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 3.00 | 90 days | 3.00 | about 89.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AgroFresh Solutions to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 89.29 (This AgroFresh Solutions probability density function shows the probability of AgroFresh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AgroFresh Solutions has a beta of -0.0292. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AgroFresh Solutions are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AgroFresh Solutions is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AgroFresh Solutions has an alpha of 0.0183, implying that it can generate a 0.0183 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AgroFresh Solutions Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AgroFresh Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AgroFresh Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AgroFresh Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AgroFresh Solutions Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AgroFresh Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AgroFresh Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AgroFresh Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AgroFresh Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
AgroFresh Solutions Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AgroFresh Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AgroFresh Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AgroFresh Solutions is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AgroFresh Solutions has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 161.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 108.5 M. | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
AgroFresh Solutions Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AgroFresh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AgroFresh Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AgroFresh Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.4 M |
AgroFresh Solutions Technical Analysis
AgroFresh Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AgroFresh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AgroFresh Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing AgroFresh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AgroFresh Solutions Predictive Forecast Models
AgroFresh Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many AgroFresh Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AgroFresh Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AgroFresh Solutions
Checking the ongoing alerts about AgroFresh Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AgroFresh Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AgroFresh Solutions is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AgroFresh Solutions has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 161.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 108.5 M. | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the AgroFresh Solutions information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AgroFresh Solutions' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Other Consideration for investing in AgroFresh Stock
If you are still planning to invest in AgroFresh Solutions check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the AgroFresh Solutions' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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