Audio Pixels Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.95

ADPXY Stock  USD 3.95  0.00  0.00%   
Audio Pixels' future price is the expected price of Audio Pixels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Audio Pixels Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Audio Pixels Backtesting, Audio Pixels Valuation, Audio Pixels Correlation, Audio Pixels Hype Analysis, Audio Pixels Volatility, Audio Pixels History as well as Audio Pixels Performance.
  
Please specify Audio Pixels' target price for which you would like Audio Pixels odds to be computed.

Audio Pixels Target Price Odds to finish below 3.95

The tendency of Audio Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 3.95 90 days 3.95 
about 25.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Audio Pixels to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 25.65 (This Audio Pixels Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Audio Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Audio Pixels has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Audio Pixels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Audio Pixels Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Audio Pixels Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Audio Pixels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Audio Pixels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Audio Pixels Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Audio Pixels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.243.957.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.624.338.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.564.277.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.953.953.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Audio Pixels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Audio Pixels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Audio Pixels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Audio Pixels Holdings.

Audio Pixels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Audio Pixels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Audio Pixels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Audio Pixels Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Audio Pixels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Audio Pixels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Audio Pixels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Audio Pixels Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Audio Pixels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Audio Pixels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 3.98 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Audio Pixels Holdings has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Audio Pixels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Audio Pixels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Audio Pixels Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Audio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Audio Pixels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 107.26 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.26 K.
Audio Pixels Holdings has accumulated about 532.41 K in cash with (5.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.

Audio Pixels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Audio Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Audio Pixels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Audio Pixels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments748.4 K

Audio Pixels Technical Analysis

Audio Pixels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Audio Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Audio Pixels Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Audio Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Audio Pixels Predictive Forecast Models

Audio Pixels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Audio Pixels' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Audio Pixels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Audio Pixels Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Audio Pixels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Audio Pixels Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Audio Pixels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Audio Pixels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 3.98 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Audio Pixels Holdings has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Audio Pixels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Audio Pixels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Audio Pixels Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Audio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Audio Pixels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 107.26 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.26 K.
Audio Pixels Holdings has accumulated about 532.41 K in cash with (5.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Check out Audio Pixels Backtesting, Audio Pixels Valuation, Audio Pixels Correlation, Audio Pixels Hype Analysis, Audio Pixels Volatility, Audio Pixels History as well as Audio Pixels Performance.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Complementary Tools for Audio Pink Sheet analysis

When running Audio Pixels' price analysis, check to measure Audio Pixels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Audio Pixels is operating at the current time. Most of Audio Pixels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Audio Pixels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Audio Pixels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Audio Pixels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Audio Pixels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Audio Pixels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Audio Pixels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.