Unifosa (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.7
8277 Stock | TWD 11.80 0.05 0.42% |
Unifosa |
Unifosa Target Price Odds to finish below 11.7
The tendency of Unifosa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 11.70 or more in 90 days |
11.80 | 90 days | 11.70 | about 14.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unifosa to drop to NT$ 11.70 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.46 (This Unifosa probability density function shows the probability of Unifosa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Unifosa price to stay between NT$ 11.70 and its current price of NT$11.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Unifosa has a beta of 0.0221. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Unifosa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Unifosa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Unifosa has an alpha of 0.0073, implying that it can generate a 0.007319 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Unifosa Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Unifosa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unifosa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Unifosa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Unifosa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unifosa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unifosa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unifosa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unifosa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Unifosa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unifosa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unifosa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The company reported the revenue of 328.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.27 M. | |
Unifosa has accumulated about 319.03 M in cash with (44.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.48. | |
Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Unifosa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unifosa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unifosa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unifosa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.6 M |
Unifosa Technical Analysis
Unifosa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unifosa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unifosa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unifosa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Unifosa Predictive Forecast Models
Unifosa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Unifosa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Unifosa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Unifosa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Unifosa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unifosa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 328.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.27 M. | |
Unifosa has accumulated about 319.03 M in cash with (44.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.48. | |
Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Check out Unifosa Backtesting, Unifosa Valuation, Unifosa Correlation, Unifosa Hype Analysis, Unifosa Volatility, Unifosa History as well as Unifosa Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for Unifosa Stock analysis
When running Unifosa's price analysis, check to measure Unifosa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Unifosa is operating at the current time. Most of Unifosa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Unifosa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Unifosa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Unifosa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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