Mobase Electronics (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1741.0
| 012860 Stock | KRW 1,886 45.00 2.44% |
Mobase |
Mobase Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 1741.0
The tendency of Mobase Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to W 1,741 or more in 90 days |
| 1,886 | 90 days | 1,741 | nearly 4.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mobase Electronics to drop to W 1,741 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.42 (This Mobase Electronics CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Mobase Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mobase Electronics CoLtd price to stay between W 1,741 and its current price of W1886.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mobase Electronics has a beta of 0.48. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Mobase Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mobase Electronics CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mobase Electronics CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Mobase Electronics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mobase Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobase Electronics CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mobase Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mobase Electronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mobase Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mobase Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mobase Electronics CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mobase Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 103.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Mobase Electronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mobase Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mobase Electronics CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mobase Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mobase Electronics has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 14.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 230.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mobase Electronics CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mobase Electronics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mobase Electronics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mobase Electronics CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mobase to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mobase Electronics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 35.0% of Mobase Electronics shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Mobase Electronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mobase Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mobase Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mobase Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.3 B |
Mobase Electronics Technical Analysis
Mobase Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mobase Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mobase Electronics CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mobase Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mobase Electronics Predictive Forecast Models
Mobase Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mobase Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mobase Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mobase Electronics CoLtd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mobase Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mobase Electronics CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mobase Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mobase Electronics has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 14.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 230.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mobase Electronics CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mobase Electronics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mobase Electronics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mobase Electronics CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mobase to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mobase Electronics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 35.0% of Mobase Electronics shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Check out Mobase Electronics Backtesting, Mobase Electronics Valuation, Mobase Electronics Correlation, Mobase Electronics Hype Analysis, Mobase Electronics Volatility, Mobase Electronics History as well as Mobase Electronics Performance. Note that the Mobase Electronics CoLtd information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mobase Electronics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Mobase Stock analysis
When running Mobase Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Mobase Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mobase Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Mobase Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mobase Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mobase Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mobase Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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